MM44 - Hi-Yo, Silver
Today I want to talk about a trade I have never brought up before. This is not financial advice, but I love this setup. I am talking about silver.
In our community, we love Bitcoin. We have been trading MicroStrategy and IBIT and all kinds of AI plays. We do not give a lot of attention to metals. But silver is not just about store of value. That is not what this conversation is about. It is about industrial use, and that demand is only growing.
Our dollar is going to keep going down. The spread between inflation and debasement is wide. It is going to be over 20% again this year. So I think silver could easily double. I think it could triple from where it is today.
SLV has a very bullish coiling chart right now. We have support at the 200 moving average, that line in the sand I talk about all the time. Plus we have support at roughly $58 to $60. Regardless of where the exact level sits, if I am right about where silver is going, it will not matter whether I get in at $68 or $60 or $50. It is where it is going that matters.
I looked at quite a few different trade structures to enter this. I looked at both synthetic longs and modified synthetic longs. And the modified synthetic long I chose is what I call the cherry on top setup. Why? Because of the way it prices risk and reward.
Here is the key. Options prices on SLV have gone down because of this coiling pattern. The market has stopped moving. This is exactly when I like to strike. I do not want to start buying options during a huge rally. I want to buy when nothing has been happening for months, because volatility is lower and options prices are lower. Everyone has left it for dead or is ignoring it. If you watched MM25, I talked about why math is the universal language. This trade is a perfect example of letting the math, not the hype, drive the decision.
So let me walk you through exactly what I priced out and why every rule checked the box.